ATR Value Indicator Binary Options Indicator – Binary Options göstəriciləri

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26# Binary Options Strategy High/Low: JMO with ATR

ATR Breakout Binary Options Strategy

Submit by joy22 (from idea of FreddyFX 18/10/2020)

This Binary Options strategy (is an ATR breakout strategy) predicts where there is going to be a breakout in pips by using three main indicators ATR Ratio indicator and JMO indicator. This Binary optiosn Strategy is from idea of the trading system,

(ATR with MACD) written by Freddy FX.

Time Frame H1 Expires Time: 120 min or 60 min .

Currency pair: EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, USD/CHF,

Commodities: Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil.

Set your JMO indicator to 5, 3, 3. (level 80, 20)

Set your ATR Ratio (21, 7, ) level >0,8.

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Rules Binary Options Strategy High/Low: JMO with ATR

when JMO indicator cross upward in oversol area and

ATR Ratio Indicator >0.8.

If these conditions are agreed, buy a binary options call.

When JMO indicator cross downward in overbougth area.

And ATR Ratio Indicator >0.8.

If these conditions are agreed, buy a binary options put.

Exit position: expires time.

In the pictures below Binary Options Strategy High/Low: JMO with ATR in action.

Average True Range Indicator

In search for more useful indicators of price movement and strength in the market, J. Welles Wilder, creator of popular ones such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the Average Directional Index, and the Parabolic Stop and Reverse, has developed yet another indicator that is used in the core of technical analysis. This engineer introduced in 1978 the average true range indicator as a measure of volatility. Seeing the importance of the concept in increasing profitability from the correct timing of a trade, Wilder proposed a tool that can cue traders on when to enter or exit trades based on the price movement of products. In this way, traders can use the mediating factors of the indicator to know the right values that will yield a profitable trade. Wilder allowed technical traders to detect limited gaps, moves, and ranges that should determine the “true price range” of a commodity.

In his book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, Wilder discussed the Average True Range (ATR), not as a signal for the price trend of a commodity, but as an indicator to test the degree of its volatility. Traders who can gauge the strength of a trend can take advantage of positioning in any financial trade. In calculating risk, this indicator is especially important in sizing potential adverse price movements. This condition is common in situations, where a stop price is set, and a buy or a sell is made once the price reaches that stop. Although some may say that ATR is less frequently used than standard indicators, this tool can help a trader know the condition and sentiment of the market in the entry and exit of trades. ATR is truly an adaptive and universal measure of market price volatility. To dig deeper into this indicator, we’ll take a look at how it is derived and how it is used.

What is True Range?

Before we define the TRUE range, we must know that the range of trading in a day is simply the lowest price of the day subtracted from the highest price of the day.

The true range however, considers the closing of yesterday’s trading day. Therefore, the true range is whatever is the greatest among the following:

  • the difference between the latest high and the latest low (today’s high and low),
  • the absolute value of the difference between the latest high and the previous close (yesterday’s close),
  • and the absolute value of the difference between the latest low and the previous close.

The summary of the requirements above is denoted by the following:

In the computation for true range, absolute values are used to ensure positive numbers, because we are interested in measuring the distance between two points, not the direction.

It is also worth noting that the true range includes yesterday’s closing price if it is outside of the price range for today (between high and low). The inclusion simply means that the true range covers any overnight gap that may have taken place from the previous day to the next.

What is Average True Range?

The Average True Range is the measure of the mean daily ranges for a number of days, usually between 7 to 14 days, to determine a stock’s (or a forex rate’s) volatility. The arithmetic mean formula is used to calculate a first ATR value:

where n is the number of data points and TRi is the true range value for index i.

Then, the succeeding ATR values at time t can be calculated with the following:

ATR in Charting and MetaTrader

The range or true range of a bar is the high minus the low. If the high of a bar is 1.4783 and the low was 1.4698, then the range of the bar is 1.4783 minus 1.4698, which is 85 pips.

ATR comes into play when more than one bar is considered. For example, let us take 10 as our period. To calculate the ATR, we take the average of the ranges of 10 bars, starting with candle number 1, and then taking the range of candle number 2, and so on. The average of those ranges is the ATR. This is particularly useful because it gives trader an idea how many pips a bar is likely to move. Those who want to improve their entry points should consider using a limit or stop order.

Adding ATR to MetaTrader

To add ATR to MetaTrader 4 or 5, simply click on the Insert menu, and then click on Indicators->Custom->ATR.

Similarly, you can also open ATR through the Navigator on the left panel.

Once clicked, the dialog to add the ATR comes up.

The Inputs Tab lets you enter parameters for your indicator. Normally, we can set the ATR period to 14 days.

The Colors tab lets you customize the indicator for visibility in the charts

Price levels can also be added to the indicator for visibility.

The trader can also set the fixed minimum and fixed maximum values of the indicator as well as its scale percentage.

Once all the settings are filled in, adding the indicator will be seen in the charts. The following example is an ATR(14) of GBP/USD.

To analyze the ATR indicator, let’s consider a snapshot of the same ATR as above.

The green bars above indicate the price and the blue line below indicates the ATR. As we notice, the first pair shows a mild drop (a slight change) in the price, thus the small incline of the indicator. The second shows a drastic drop in price and a corresponding jump in volatility as shown by the ATR. The last pair shows stability as shown by the drop of the ATR.

Using ATR as a strategy for Binary Options

ATR was initially used for the commodities market where volatility is more prevalent. Forex and binary options, however, are also using this indicator. Traders rarely use a measure to anticipate future price movement directions, but instead use indicators to gain a perception on the recent historical volatility and to prepare an execution plan for trading. A reliable trading strategy is important in building a successful trading portfolio. Many people fail to realize that all aspects of the financial market are constantly changing; a 50 pip difference today may be increase or decrease in a few days. Adopting sound binary options strategies improves the experience levels of traders in finding a trading strategy.

One use of ATR in binary options is to know when to trade. As seen the following diagram, still showing a snapshot of GBP/USD with ATR(14), we see four pairs of encircled areas.

The first orange pair does not correlate vertically to each other, meaning that the rise of the price is not the same with the movement of the ATR. The three red pairs, however, show the price movement to have a direct relationship with the indicator. How each pair correlates in terms of direction to one another is the focal point of the trading signal. When a correlating movement between our assets trend and the ATR line is seen, this is considered as a signal to place a trade in the direction of the trend. If we see an upward movement with our assets trend and the ATR line, then we place a CALL option, and a PUT option if otherwise. Therefore, the first and the third red pairs should indicate a CALL opportunity, whereas the second red pair should influence the trader to purchase a PUT option. By simply minding the expiry times for these signals, all things considered, they won’t often exceed the historical trend that is indicated in the chart.

Two Powerful Trading Indicators, and How I Use Them

Price is the ultimate indicator. Regardless of what indicator you use, it won’t tell you more than the actual price movement itself, because all indicators are derived from price. I prefer to trade without binary options indicators, since the price itself is what I trade. With that said, indicators do present price information in a different way, which can help us isolate moves or underlying strength or weakness we not see on the price chart. While I generally trade indicator free, but here are my two favorite indicators which I do use on occasion to clarify moves, hone in on high probability trades and help filter out the bad ones.

Average True Range (ATR)

By far the indicator I use the most. Simply put, ATR is the amount an asset moves in the day.

The indicator takes an average over a number of days (or bars), such as 10 or 20, to give you a representation of daily price movement of the asset. The average is based on the largest following number: Current High minus Current Low, Current High minus Previous Close or Current Low minus Previous Close. Luckily the indicator tool within your trading platform will calculate this all for you, so all you have to is look at the current indicator reading.

Figure 1. EUR/USD Daily with ATR

Source: Oanda – MetaTrader

Figure 1 shows the ATR over ten days–shown as “ATR (10)”– for the EUR/USD on Daily bars. Therefore, the current reading of 0.0099 means the EUR/USD is moving on average 99 pips per day. If you used a 5 minute chart, the reading you get would be a 10 period average of how much the EUR/USD moves in a 5 minute period.

So how does this reading help you make better trades? Assume it is near the end of the day, and the EUR/USD has already moved up 140 pips on the day and you want to take a long trade. Do you take it?

Maybe, but only if you believe something important is going on. Since the average daily movement is about 99 pips, it is quite likely that the EUR/USD is bit overextended (at 140 pips), having already moved well beyond average. That is not too say that if you go long/buy calls you won’t make money, but it does make you sit back and examine the trade to make sure it is worth taking.

I generally use this indicator as a filter. While wide ranging days happen (much larger than average), I like to trade based on statistics. If I get a signal to go long or short on an intra-day trade, and the asset has already moved well beyond the average, I will usually skip it and look for another trade which has more room to run.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Known as an oscillator, this indicator fluctuates between 0 and 100 and measures the speed and change of price. If you have watched business news or read some technical comments from traders, you will often hear the words “Overbought” or “Oversold.” While the speaker may be addressing something else, often technical analysts are referring to the current RSI reading when they use these words. A reading above 70 is typically overbought, while below 30 is oversold. Once an asset enters these area, a reversal is usually not far off.

But to me, timing is important and therefore standard overbought/oversold RSI readings are pretty much useless. For one, in a strong uptrend, the reading will be frequently above 70, but yet you want to be long most of the time. Same goes for a downtrend; the RSI will frequent the area below 30 and yet you want to be short/buying puts during downtrends.

I prefer to use the RSI in a “relative” fashion; comparing current RSI readings in uptrends to past uptrends, and current RSI readings in downtrends to past downtrends. This concept comes from Constance Brown’s book Technical Analysis for the Trading Professional. What the author finds is that in downtrends the RSI generally stays below 60, and that in uptrends it generally stays above 40.

Figure 2. EUR/USD 4 Hour Chart

Source: Oanda – MetaTrader

In figure 2, notice how the RSI shifts; during the downtrend it often touches below 40 and rarely gets above 60 (red line). But when the trend moves higher toward the right hand side of the chart, the RSI doesn’t move below 40 (green line) and spends much of the time above 60.

This is an excellent method for confirming trends, although some tolerance is often required. The RSI may squeak just beyond the levels mentioned, or the levels used may vary slightly by asset.

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Indicators are derivatives of price. Generally I do not use indicators very much, as I prefer just to look at the actual price chart. Indicators can only provide this same price information, but may present it visually in a way that is preferable, or summarize the data for easier use. ATR is one such summarizing tool. It quickly gives you a number–the daily average range–you can work with. If an asset has moved well beyond its daily average range, it’s possible something important is happening, but more often than not I find the trade should simple be skipped if it requires the asset move even further.

The RSI presents price information in a different way, which can be quite useful for confirming trends or catching trend reversals. The RSI has different tendencies during downtrends than it does during uptrends. Typically in a downtrend the RSI stays below 60, and in uptrend stays above 40. When you notice the RSI shift from one tendency to another, the trend has likely reversed.

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